Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.080945 0.093520 0.107399 0.123856 0.142841 0.164060 0.189584
2026-01-11 0.061702 0.078733 0.099453 0.126525 0.160985 0.203420 0.259717
2026-01-18 0.050684 0.069326 0.093605 0.127552 0.173844 0.234852 0.321538
2026-01-25 0.042361 0.061314 0.087404 0.125960 0.181572 0.259031 0.375427
2026-02-01 0.035483 0.053935 0.080582 0.121894 0.184448 0.275846 0.420012
2026-02-08 0.031685 0.050318 0.078407 0.123860 0.195745 0.305376 0.485977
2026-02-15 0.028278 0.046740 0.075679 0.124378 0.204516 0.331608 0.549449
2026-02-22 0.025686 0.044056 0.073910 0.126005 0.214939 0.361181 0.621227
2026-03-01 0.022728 0.040353 0.069982 0.123463 0.217956 0.378686 0.674485
2026-03-08 0.020316 0.037264 0.066678 0.121495 0.221536 0.397220 0.731194
2026-03-15 0.018728 0.035429 0.065306 0.122700 0.230717 0.426243 0.809566
2026-03-22 0.017932 0.034940 0.066258 0.128188 0.248217 0.471869 0.923426
2026-03-29 0.016870 0.033852 0.066033 0.131535 0.262261 0.512970 1.034231
2026-04-05 0.015837 0.032703 0.065570 0.134376 0.275665 0.554344 1.150554
2026-04-12 0.014720 0.031243 0.064322 0.135467 0.285616 0.589873 1.258944
2026-04-19 0.013442 0.029297 0.061870 0.133776 0.289592 0.613649 1.345391
2026-04-26 0.012061 0.026969 0.058371 0.129457 0.287475 0.624467 1.405141
2026-05-03 0.011388 0.026105 0.057867 0.131546 0.299436 0.666329 1.537685
2026-05-10 0.010650 0.025008 0.056734 0.132096 0.307997 0.701600 1.659232
2026-05-17 0.010068 0.024202 0.056155 0.133824 0.319391 0.744281 1.802569
2026-05-24 0.009224 0.022683 0.053794 0.131124 0.320122 0.762640 1.890250
2026-05-31 0.008501 0.021374 0.051782 0.129033 0.322060 0.783965 1.987451
2026-06-07 0.008053 0.020690 0.051181 0.130313 0.332369 0.826295 2.141537